A dive into probabilities, asteroid impact modeling, and what sort of damage an approximately 180-foot asteroid could cause on Earth.

YR is considered to be larger than the Chelyabinsk asteroid that struck Russia in 2013. Its shock wave was strong enough to injure 1,500 people.

NASA’s Centre for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) has calculated a 2.3% chance—roughly a 1-in-43 probability—that asteroid 2024 YR4 could impact Earth in 2032. While the number may sound alarming, astronomers emphasise that further observations will likely refine the asteroid’s trajectory and reduce any potential risk.

The possibility of the asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting our planet might not be ruled out until 2028, raising the prospect we’ll need to prepare for the worst

Scientists are closely monitoring a massive asteroid that could strike Earth in 2032, with the potential for catastrophic consequences

A newly discovered asteroid has a tiny chance of smacking Earth in 2032, space agency officials said Wednesday. “We are not worried at all, because of this 99 percent chance it will miss,” said Paul Chodas,

Look at it this way — there's almost a 99 per cent chance an asteroid up to the size of a football field won't hit the Earth in eight years. Still, there's up to a two per cent chance it will, according to NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA).

Experts are tracking asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth in 2032. Observations continue to refine its path.

A recently released animation shows a new look at a large asteroid that has a small, but significant chance of impacting planet Earth in 7 years. The animation, provided by the NASA-funded Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System (ATLAS),