Now people are betting on whether there’ll be a government shutdown, and Polymarket puts the odds of it happening at 61% at the moment, but it’s swinging rapidly. Odds spiked as high as 75% ...

A betting contract at Kalshi reflected a 54% chance of a shutdown, up 19.9 percentage points from where the contract traded on Wednesday. At Polymarket, the probability was at 59%.

Betting markets have switched to seeing a lower chance of a partial government shutdown this weekend, following multiple published reports that Republicans have agreed on how to proceed and a vote ...

A government shutdown could be disruptive ... to pass in the House of Representatives Thursday night. Gamblers on the betting website Polymarket were pricing a 61% chance of a shutdown Friday ...